新人提问:风险头寸规模的可变性
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关注市场一段时间了,想在实盘交易中保持更稳定。我正在努力调整我的风险头寸规模,对于那些感觉“更确定”的交易,以及那些结果范围更广的交易,我不知道如何适应。各位老手是如何根据感知到的交易质量来调整头寸规模的,还是无论如何都坚持固定百分比?
由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
关注市场一段时间了,想在实盘交易中保持更稳定。我正在努力调整我的风险头寸规模,对于那些感觉“更确定”的交易,以及那些结果范围更广的交易,我不知道如何适应。各位老手是如何根据感知到的交易质量来调整头寸规模的,还是无论如何都坚持固定百分比?
Perceived certainty is a trap. Stick to a fixed percentage of your capital, or a fixed dollar amount, per trade. Your read on a trade is often biased; trying to adjust sizing based on that will just lead to bigger losses on the trades you were 'sure' about.
Welcome! That's a great question, and something most traders wrestle with. Personally, I don't vary my position size based on perceived certainty; I find it's a slippery slope to overbetting on hunches. Instead, I focus on a fixed percentage and let the market tell me when I'm wrong.
I generally stick to a fixed percentage to avoid overtrading or taking on too much risk based on emotion. What factors are you considering when you perceive a trade as more 'certain'?
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