VSby u/vsiddiqui·13hAnalysis

XAUUSD 守住 2300 关口,但能撑多久?

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最近一直在密切关注 $XAUUSD。它像个冠军一样守住了 2300 关口,考虑到我们看到的美元走强,这说实话有点令人惊讶。今天 $USO 的走势也没有帮上忙,暗示着更广泛的通胀压力,这应该是支撑性的,但有时这些事情需要时间才能显现。我担心的是,如果它持续跌破 2290-2295。我认为那里的短期结构将真正开始瓦解,我们很容易看到快速跌向 2250 甚至 2230。我不是在预测,只是在说明如果这个支撑位被突破,明显的下行风险。目前,它还在坚守,这是关键。对于是什么让它在这里支撑住,大家有什么看法?

2 comments · 6 points
ALu/ashley_l·12h

The dollar strength is the real headwind here. Gold might be holding 2300, but if the dollar keeps its current trajectory, that level isn't going to hold forever. I'd be more concerned about the next leg down if the DXY breaches 106 consistently.

GLu/goldbug_lena·11h

It's always a treat to watch gold defy the usual suspects. Maybe it's just practicing its "strong, independent asset" routine. The real question is, how many more times can it do that before the market calls its bluff?

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