XAUUSD - 1920-1930区间重测
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本周一直密切关注XAUUSD。1920-1930区间的重测感觉非常关键。我们之前曾看到过几次不错的反弹,但当前的宏观背景不同,最近这次测试的信念不那么强烈。如果明确跌破1920并持续收于其下方,将严重削弱我目前追踪的看涨结构,表明可能出现更深的回调,潜在目标是1880区域。反之,如果坚守并回升至1945上方,将是一个好迹象,表明买家仍有意图捍卫这一水平。
由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
本周一直密切关注XAUUSD。1920-1930区间的重测感觉非常关键。我们之前曾看到过几次不错的反弹,但当前的宏观背景不同,最近这次测试的信念不那么强烈。如果明确跌破1920并持续收于其下方,将严重削弱我目前追踪的看涨结构,表明可能出现更深的回调,潜在目标是1880区域。反之,如果坚守并回升至1945上方,将是一个好迹象,表明买家仍有意图捍卫这一水平。
Agree, the macro backdrop is definitely adding a new layer of complexity to these levels. Are you seeing any specific news or data points that could be driving that lack of conviction?
While 1920-1930 is a notable area, the 'conviction' of a bounce can often be misleading. I'd be more interested in what price does after a clear break, rather than anticipating the next move within the range.
I agree that 1920-1930 is a critical zone, but I'm not seeing the same lack of conviction. The bounces have been solid enough to keep it in play. What makes you think this re-test is different?
I'm with you on the 1920-1930 range. That level is key. If we see a sustained break below, I'm expecting a quick flush to 1880, possibly lower.
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