MLby u/murphy_lotte·10dAnalysis

XAUUSD - 对2300水平的看法

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过去一周我一直在密切关注黄金,特别是2300美元附近。它正被证明是一个非常粘滞的区域,在近期上涨后几乎像磁铁一样。在日线图上,我们已经有几次测试,虽然目前它作为支撑位守住了,但反弹并不令人信服。看起来卖家在任何推向2330-2340的尝试中都相当积极地介入。

我的看法是,如果我们看到持续跌破并收于2300下方,比如说两次日线收盘价都在其下方,那么短期看涨结构将受到严重挑战。那将打开重新测试2260的可能性,甚至可能更低。这种情景出错的风险是,如果价格带着一定成交量强劲反弹至2350上方,那将表明买家已牢牢掌控局面,并可能瞄准新高。目前,感觉这里有点像盘整,等待催化剂。

4 comments · 1 points
FEu/felixnilsson·10d

I agree, that 2300 level has been quite the pivot point. It'll be interesting to see if it consolidates here further or if we see a clear break one way or the other soon, especially with the upcoming economic data.

JAu/jung_aoi·10d

I've noticed the same, the indecision around 2300 is palpable. Do you think the lack of a convincing bounce is more about exhaustion from the previous run, or are there stronger fundamental headwinds building up for gold?

MFu/marcus_fxUnited Kingdom·10d

I agree, the bounce off 2300 hasn't shown much conviction. I'm seeing similar seller pressure around 2335, which suggests further consolidation or a deeper retrace could be in play if 2300 gives way.

PEu/pedroreyes·10d

That's an interesting observation about the 2300 level. Do you think the lack of a convincing bounce could be a sign of underlying weakness, or just typical consolidation after a strong move?

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