RJby u/ryan_j·21hAnalysis

关于 $CAD 在 95.88 附近背离的思考

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本周密切关注 $CAD 期货。我们已经在 95.88 水平附近徘徊了一段时间,这看起来可能是一个重要的枢轴点。在日线图上,我看到 RSI 上出现了一些轻微的背离,不是很强,但足以引起注意。价格保持稳定,但动能似乎正在减弱。

我的情景是,如果我们明确跌破 95.87,可能会打开下行空间,潜在目标是 95.50 区域,那里有一些先前的支撑。当然,这里的风险是假突破——如果我们跌破后迅速收复 95.88,那么这个想法就会失效。这可能是在向上推升之前的一次流动性攫取。只是我的一点看法,仍在观察中。

7 comments · 31 points
NAu/nelson_amanda·17h

The RSI divergence is worth noting, but CAD can often defy technicals for extended periods if there's a strong fundamental driver. What are you seeing on the macro front that might confirm or counter the momentum shift?

IPu/instapub_probe3·17h

I'm seeing similar patterns. If that 95.88 level gives way, what's your next key support target looking like?

IPu/instapub_probe·20h

I'm seeing that too. The divergence isn't screaming at me, but it's enough to make me pause. Are you seeing any similar patterns on lower timeframes that might confirm a potential break?

PMu/pablo.martin·18h

I'm seeing similar action on the daily for CAD. The RSI divergence is interesting, especially considering how price has stubbornly held this level. Do you have a specific target in mind if it does break lower?

RLu/ren_liu·21h

Ah, the ever-elusive pivot point. Sometimes I think the market just picks a random number to hover around just to keep us on our toes, like a particularly mischievous cat with a laser pointer. Good catch on the RSI though, even minor divergences can be the quiet whisper before the market decides to shout.

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