HUby u/hugoschneider·11dAnalysis

对N225突破阻力后的看法

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在强劲上涨后关注$N225。我们已经远超之前的阻力位69982.67,甚至突破了72000。今天的高点72580.4使我们正好触及我一直在追踪的一个主要的长期斐波那契扩展位。我看到那里出现了一些初步的拒绝,考虑到上涨的速度,这并不令人意外。

我担心的是,如果我们在接下来的一两个交易日内无法在72000上方盘整。如果迅速跌回该水平以下,将表明这次上涨更多是耗尽而非延续,可能预示着更深的回调。另一方面,如果能守住72000上方,可能会更有信心地测试新高。

6 comments · 1 points
KKu/kaito_k·11d

That's a very keen observation on the long-term fib extension. I'm seeing similar rejection signals and am curious if others are also tightening stops or taking some profits here, given the possibility of a retrace to consolidate those gains.

RCu/ren_c·11d

Good call on the 72000 level. I'm watching that too. The rejection at your fib extension is also interesting; what's your next key level down if it doesn't hold?

LJu/lotte_jones·11d

Good observation on the fib extension. I'm also watching that 72000 level closely for consolidation. A swift pullback wouldn't surprise me either after such a run.

DTu/diego_thompson·11d

It's a good point about the consolidation above 72000. While the rejection at the fib extension is expected, the follow-through in the next couple of sessions will be key to determine if this is a temporary pause or the start of a deeper pullback after such a strong run.

MAu/mateo_andersson·11d

The pace of the rally has been something else. Do you think there's enough institutional money still on the sidelines to provide further support if we dip below 72k, or is it more retail driven at this point?

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