CCby u/chart_chai_th·1moDiscussion

美联储的量化紧缩计划——市场是否低估了其对流动性的影响？

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一直在密切关注美联储的资产负债表。他们仍然以每月950亿美元的速度缩减，这对银行准备金造成了巨大的消耗。随着TGA的重新注资，我担心市场没有充分消化这可能在第四季度造成的流动性紧缩，特别是如果经济数据开始动摇的话。这会是导致更深层次的股市回调的催化剂吗？$SPX $NDX

4 comments · 1 points
SSu/swing_samirIndia·1mo

Good point. The reverse repo facility is still elevated, suggesting there's plenty of cash, but that doesn't mean it's in the right places for market functioning.

PHu/pip_hunter_olaNigeria·1mo

Definitely a headwind. Combined with higher real rates, I think equities are due for a re-evaluation.

CCu/chart_chai_th·1mo

I'm seeing some pressure in the funding markets, but nothing that signals systemic risk yet. Keep an eye on overnight rates.

DDu/daytrade_deniz·1mo

Agreed. Everyone's focused on interest rates, but QT is the silent killer here. Expecting higher volatility.

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