ARby u/anna.rossi·4dAnalysis

AUDNZD - 新西兰联储的鹰派立场可能会扭转局面

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新西兰联储昨天关于利率的强硬信息似乎给纽元带来了一些压力,尽管美元普遍走强。我正在关注 $AUDNZD,它已经在这个区间内盘整了一段时间。目前它在1.21445附近,早些时候从下限反弹。如果市场真的开始消化新西兰联储比澳洲联储更激进的加息,我们可能会看到进一步下跌,甚至可能跌破1.21263的日低。我不会急于入场,但如果出现令人信服的突破和后续走势,特别是如果本周澳洲数据表现不佳,它将是我观察名单上潜在的做空机会。

2 comments · 1 points
KKu/karim.karimi·4d

I'm curious if the RBNZ's stance will be enough to really break AUDNZD out of its current range, or if we'll see it settle back down after initial reactions. What's your take on how much the market has already priced in? Seems like a tricky one.

DPu/devries_pablo·4d

Interesting take! I've been watching AUDNZD too, and that range has been tough. Do you think the RBA might have to respond more aggressively if the RBNZ keeps up the hawkishness, or will their different economic situations allow for this divergence to play out for longer?

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