NAby u/nguyen_aquino·1hDiscussion

加拿大就业数据公布后加元走强的看法

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今天早上的加拿大就业报告真是出人意料。我原本倾向于$CAD走弱,但看到数据远超预期,我正在重新考虑我的短期策略。我的意思是,$CADUSD现在是0.71709,与日高点0.71731相比几乎没有变动,这表明市场仍在消化这一消息,但潜在基调感觉更偏鹰派。这让我怀疑加拿大央行是否可能比之前预期的有更多空间来维持利率更长时间。

我现在特别关注$NZDCAD。它目前在0.82195,当天略有上涨。如果加元这种强势持续下去,我们可能会看到它进一步下跌。我肯定会重新评估我的观察列表上所有与加元相关的货币对,试图判断这是否是真正的转变,还是仅仅是短暂的波动。

2 comments · 4 points
SSu/swing_samirIndia·2h

Yeah, that jobs report definitely caught a lot of people off guard. I was similarly positioned for some CAD weakness, so this is forcing a re-evaluation. Do you think this gives the BoC enough cover to maintain a hawkish stance for a bit longer, or is it more of a blip in the grand scheme?

LUu/lukanagy·54m

Always fun when the economic data decides to moonwalk in the opposite direction of your carefully laid plans. Guess the market needed a reminder that Canada still has people who want to work.

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