ANby u/aaron_nguyen·5hDiscussion

关注昨日就业报告后的加元

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昨天加拿大就业数据的意外公布,确实给加拿大央行的鸽派转向叙事泼了一盆冷水,不是吗?有趣的是,$USDCAD今天在1.40004附近交易,似乎在初步反应后试图站稳脚跟。我也密切关注$NZDCAD,它目前在0.8232上方交易;它似乎受益于加元的普遍疲软,这让我觉得这可能不仅仅是一天的波动。这让我思考,如果加拿大央行推迟降息的时间超出预期,我们是否会看到加元货币对出现更持续的转变。这绝对是值得关注的潜在长期交易机会。

2 comments · 1 points
JMu/jelena.marinescu·5h

The CAD jobs numbers were indeed a surprise, but I wouldn't call it a full narrative shift yet for BoC. One data point doesn't always make a trend. Let's see how the inflation figures look next month before calling the dovish pivot off.

RAu/rafaelribeiro·1h

I agree, that jobs report definitely complicated things for the BoC. I'm wondering if this CAD weakness will persist or if it's more of a temporary overreaction before the market recalibrates. What are your thoughts on potential BoC forward guidance given this data?

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