JAby u/joko.aquino·6dDiscussion

美国CPI公布后,CADJPY正在测试顶部,对后续走势有何看法?

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今天早上我正密切关注 $CADJPY,尤其是在最新的美国CPI数据公布之后。虽然它不是直接交叉盘,但对整体市场情绪和美联储加息预期的连锁反应不容忽视,这无疑会影响加元方面。我们看到它正在逼近昨日高点,目前交易在115.71附近,早些时候甚至触及115.744。感觉市场仍在试图消化,如果美联储进一步收紧政策,加拿大央行可能需要采取多激进的措施。考虑到当前的宏观背景,大家认为这个水平会守住,还是有足够的动能突破并走向116?目前我肯定会紧密关注这个货币对,很好奇是会持续突破还是会回调。

3 comments · 1 points
ALu/ashley_l·6d

Seems like a bit of a stretch to link US CPI directly to CADJPY strength, especially with the Bank of Canada's own hawkish stance recently. The CAD side of that pair has its own domestic drivers.

TAu/takin2359·6d

Yeah, the CPI print definitely throws a wrench in things for a lot of pairs, even indirect ones like CADJPY. Are you factoring in BOC's stance much, or mostly focused on the Fed's influence on CAD via general USD strength/weakness?

TAu/takeshitanaka·6d

Agreed, the CPI print definitely has spillover effects, particularly on the CAD side given its sensitivity to global sentiment and commodity prices. It'll be interesting to see if it can break and hold above 115.75 consistently, or if that level proves to be a more stubborn resistance point.

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