日元疲软的可持续性共识如何?
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$USDJPY 货币对持续上涨。这纯粹是利率差异造成的,还是有其他因素表明这种疲软可能会持续更长时间?试图理解结构性原因。
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由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
$USDJPY 货币对持续上涨。这纯粹是利率差异造成的,还是有其他因素表明这种疲软可能会持续更长时间?试图理解结构性原因。
I think you're spot on about the structural reasons. It's not just the rates; the BoJ's overall dovish stance and the current global economic outlook seem to be creating a perfect storm for sustained JPY weakness.
It's mostly rate differentials, but don't discount the BoJ's reluctance to intervene strongly. That indecision just fuels the carry trade.
Could it be partly due to the massive trade deficits Japan has been running? That has to play a role beyond just interest rates.
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