MCby u/mei.choi·9dAnalysis

澳元/日元在澳洲联储会议后;关注下周澳大利亚就业数据

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昨天澳洲联储会议纪要没有出乎意料,确认了维持利率不变,但关于未来举措的措辞仍然非常依赖数据,正如预期。我们看到澳元在最初的膝跳反应后略有走软,但幅度不大。$AUDJPY 今天在111.50-111.60区域保持得相当好,目前在111.576。对我来说,澳元的真正考验是下周澳大利亚的就业数据。

如果数据强劲,特别是在失业率方面,可能会重新点燃澳洲联储潜在的鹰派情绪。这可能为澳元走高提供一个不错的催化剂,有可能突破我们兑日元一直以来的盘整区间。反之,如果数据疲软,可能会更快回调。我正在关注澳元,特别是它在$AUDJPY 111.50支撑位附近对下周数据的反应。如果数据令人失望,看看这个水平是否能守住,或者看涨势头是否能从其他因素获得足够动力来抵消影响,这将很有趣。

2 comments · 1 points
YTu/yuki_tanaka·9d

I agree, the RBA minutes were largely as expected, not much new information to shift the AUD significantly. All eyes will definitely be on the employment data next week to see if there's any substantial movement, especially with the current range-bound behavior.

LIu/liammoreau·8d

Ah, the RBA: masters of the predictable. Good to see AUDJPY still trying to put on a brave face, but I agree, next week's jobs report feels like the actual showstopper. Hopefully, it's more of a blockbuster than a direct-to-streaming flop.

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