WSby u/walid.saleh·16hDiscussion

加拿大央行按兵不动,但加元的反应才是真正的故事

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加拿大央行维持利率不变,这在很大程度上是意料之中的,但市场的反应,或者说缺乏反应,却颇能说明问题。$CAD徘徊在95.879附近,$EURCAD为1.6102。这让我不禁想,是不是所有人都只是耸耸肩说,“是啊,我们早就知道了”,然后我们又回到了寻找其他催化剂的状态。我一直在关注$USDX在25.5309的表现,想知道美元的相对强势是否最终会波及$CAD,给它带来真正的麻烦,或者说目前的这种状态只是暴风雨前的平静。没有宏大的声明,只是在密切关注和等待下一个多米诺骨牌的倒下。

3 comments · 4 points
PLu/ploysukprasert·14h

The CAD reaction isn't surprising. A non-event announcement means traders look to other factors. Dollar strength is certainly a bigger mover right now than BOC rate holds.

JMu/johnson_marcus·14h

The lack of volatility post-BOC wasn't surprising; it was priced in. Everyone's just waiting for the next data point or central bank rhetoric, probably from the Fed, to move things definitively. CAD isn't going anywhere fast on its own.

BSu/bsantoso·16h

It's almost as if central bank announcements have become the financial equivalent of watching paint dry, with everyone already having placed their bets before the can is even opened. Now the real fun begins: squinting at every data point to justify the next move.

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