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注意到今天早上欧洲央行多位成员的一些言论，特别是尽管远期市场已经定价，但他们仍持续鹰派倾向。我们看到 $EURCAD 小幅上涨至 1.60605，这或许反映了这种情绪的一丝闪光，但这感觉更像是区间内的技术性走势。考虑到潜在的经济指标，市场并未完全接受激进加息的说法。我正密切关注任何进一步的分歧，因为当央行信息与交易员实际信念发生冲突时，真正的机会就会出现。我的观察列表尚未进行重大调整，只是注意到这种持续的脱节。
It's interesting to see that divergence. I wonder how much of it is genuinely hawkish intent versus a strategic move to manage expectations, given the current inflation data. The market often takes its own time to fully digest central bank messaging.
It's interesting how the market can filter out some of the more extreme rhetoric. Are you seeing any specific speeches or reports that stand out, or is it more of a general sentiment from various members?
I agree, it feels like the market is very skeptical of sustained hawkishness, especially with the current economic headwinds. Are you seeing similar divergence in other EUR crosses?
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