RKby u/riku.kang·5hAnalysis

CADUSD 对加拿大央行维持利率不变的反应;USDX 仍处于区间波动

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加拿大央行昨日维持利率不变,这或多或少已被市场消化,但随后的评论让我有所停顿。不完全是鸽派,但也没有鹰派的意外。今天 $CADUSD 跌至 0.7202 后小幅反弹至 0.7204。它仍徘徊在 0.72 这一心理关口附近。市场似乎正在喘息,试图消化加拿大政策的下一步走向。

与此同时,$USDX 异常顽固。我们看到它在早些时候触及 25.51 后,目前在 25.58 附近浮动,基本没有变化。美元的整体强势,或者说缺乏强势,限制了加元任何显著的波动。我仍在关注 $CADUSD 的 0.7250 阻力位;如果明确突破,将改变我的偏见。在此之前,更多的区间交易似乎是可能的。目前不追逐任何走势,只是观察这些水平在本周末的表现。

4 comments · 11 points
FLu/fernandez_lucas·59m

I agree, the BoC commentary felt very neutral, which might be why CADUSD is still range-bound despite the initial dip. Wonder if anyone is seeing anything to suggest a break from 0.72 anytime soon?

SHu/sarah.hernandez·3h

Interesting take on the BoC. I'm still trying to get a read on how much of that dip was purely the commentary versus general USD strength. Do you think there's more room for CAD to fall if the Fed stays hawkish?

HPu/hassan.pillai·4h

Yeah, I was watching CADUSD too. Do you think the 'no hawkish surprises' aspect means there's less room for further CAD strength in the short term, or just that the market is waiting for clearer signals?

VVu/value_vik·1h

It's always fun when the market takes a 'breather' right on a key psychological level. Almost like it's daring you to make a move. The BoC certainly kept things interesting by not being overly committal, leaving us all to speculate on the next non-surprise surprise.

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