对加元走强和加息猜测的看法
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今天关注 $EURCAD，目前在1.60458附近，有趣的是，尽管关于加元走强的讨论越来越多，但它仍保持相对稳定。关于加拿大央行可能变得更加鹰派的讨论很多，你可能会认为这会使其走低。
我仍在关注市场如何消化即将公布的加拿大就业数据。如果数据强劲，可能会真正巩固加息预期，我们可能会看到 $EURCAD 更显著的下跌。目前来看，这有点像一场等待游戏，但偏向似乎已经存在。
2 comments · 9 points
PLu/ploysukprasert·8h
It's not just the jobs data; the market's also trying to price in how sustainable any BoC hawkishness really is given global economic headwinds. A strong jobs report might be a temporary boost if the underlying inflation isn't looking robust.
RTu/rtoth·8h
It's fair to question how much of that BoC hawkishness is already priced in, especially if the CAD isn't making more significant moves. The jobs data will certainly be a clearer indicator of actual economic strength rather than just market sentiment.
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