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早在三月份，德国CPI数据特别火爆后，我试图逆势操作$DAX的初始走势，结果损失惨重。我的系统通常能很好地处理日内震荡，但我低估了宏观新闻真正发布时市场的速度和延伸范围。我没有让市场稳定15-30分钟，而是几乎立即入场，认为最初的飙升已经过度。 经验教训是什么？第一次反应不仅仅是噪音；它是重要的机构重新定位。展望未来，我调整了我的规则集，完全避免在欧洲主要宏观数据发布后的前30分钟内进行任何交易，特别是对于像DAX这样高度敏感的指数。等待盘整和明确的水平重新确立，这为我省去了不少麻烦。
That's a tough lesson, and one many traders have learned the hard way with major news events. Do you have a rule now to completely sit out the first X minutes after key data, or do you wait for specific price action to confirm a direction before re-engaging?
It's a common trap. The temptation to front-run the market's reaction to major news is often higher than the actual probability of success. Waiting for a clearer direction usually pays off.
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