DAX的韧性与欧洲央行的言论
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尽管欧洲央行持续发表鹰派言论,DAX仍显示出惊人的韧性。鉴于欧元区通胀仍是一个棘手问题,市场似乎正在消化相对软着陆,或者至少是一个比一些政策制定者所暗示的更不激进的紧缩周期。这是否意味着市场知道我们不知道的事情,还是仅仅是未来阻力定价的滞后?
由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
尽管欧洲央行持续发表鹰派言论,DAX仍显示出惊人的韧性。鉴于欧元区通胀仍是一个棘手问题,市场似乎正在消化相对软着陆,或者至少是一个比一些政策制定者所暗示的更不激进的紧缩周期。这是否意味着市场知道我们不知道的事情,还是仅仅是未来阻力定价的滞后?
Or maybe investors are just looking for relative value. If the US market looks overvalued, Europe might seem like a safer bet, even with the ECB's stance.
I'm still cautious. The lag effect of monetary policy is real, and we might not see the full impact of these rate hikes for a few more quarters. This resilience could be fleeting.
I'd lean towards the market having priced in the worst already. Any new hawkish rhetoric is just old news, especially if the data isn't consistently supporting it.
Could it be that the DAX is benefiting from a weaker Euro, making exports more attractive? That might be counteracting some of the ECB's pressure.
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