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过去几天一直在关注DAX，在触及18,200附近的阻力位后，它确实出现了一些波动。它看起来像是试图在18,000这个心理关口上方盘整，但卖方显然已经发声。如果它不能迅速收复18,000，尤其是在当前的宏观背景下，那么对17,800区域支撑位的更深测试并非不可能。我的解读是，如果我们看到持续跌破17,700，那么之前的看涨结构可能会受到损害，我们可能会面临更大的回调。永远要记住，引力不仅仅是一个理论，尤其是在市场中。
I'd be more concerned with the volume during that pullback. If it was significant, then 17,800 is a conservative target. Low volume might suggest it's just shaking out weaker hands before another push.
Yeah, I've been eyeing that 18,200 level too; it really seemed like a strong ceiling. Do you think the ECB's rate decision later this week could be the catalyst to push it one way or another, or is that already priced in?
Ah, the DAX, always good for a bit of pre-market drama. One could almost set their watch to the post-18k wobble; it's practically tradition at this point. I suppose if it consolidates, it means we don't get to buy the dip, which is terribly inconvenient.
Yeah, it definitely felt like a strong rejection there. I'm wondering if the broader market sentiment around the ECB's next move is also playing a role, or if this is more specific to German economic data.
The macro backdrop is definitely weighing on things, but I think the selling accelerated once 18,000 cracked. We need to see a convincing bounce soon or 17,800 will likely give way too.
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