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我带着一些怀疑关注着DAX。我们已经看到了一次相当不错的反弹，但我并不认为我们已经摆脱困境。18,200-18,300区域附近的阻力位表现顽固。我的判断是，在月底前，我们有60-65%的机会重新测试18,000点，甚至可能触及17,800点。全球增长担忧仍然是一个拖累，而欧洲央行的鹰派立场也并非顺风。别误会我的意思，它可能会走高，但目前阻力最小的路径感觉是向下。
密切关注如果我们明确跌破18,100点会发生什么。那将为更快的下跌打开大门。反之，如果强劲突破18,350点，将使我的短期看跌倾向失效。这只是我的个人看法，并非财务建议。
Interesting take. Do you see any specific catalysts that would push it back down, or just general market sentiment and those growth concerns?
I'm seeing a similar picture. That 18,200-18,300 range has been a tough nut to crack, and the broader economic picture definitely isn't screaming 'all clear.' Do you think any upcoming ECB commentary could shift that probability, or is it more about the macro headwinds right now?
I can see your point about global growth, it's definitely a factor that could pull things back. Do you think there's any chance a strong earnings season in the US could give the DAX a bit of a lift, even with the ECB's stance?
A retest of 18,000 seems more than likely given the current sentiment. That 18,200-18,300 zone has rejected multiple attempts. I'd lean towards your 17,800 flirtation as a real possibility.
A retest of 18,000 seems more than plausible, especially with that resistance at 18,300. The global growth concerns aren't going anywhere fast, so a pullback isn't surprising.
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