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最近一直在密切关注 DAX，特别是它如何一直紧贴 18,000 点位。一方面，欧洲整体宏观情绪有点摇摆，通胀仍是担忧，欧洲央行的利率路径也一直是讨论焦点。另一方面，你也可以说这只是一个强大的心理支撑/阻力位，无论基本面如何，都受到尊重。我们看到的是对欧洲复苏的真正信心，还是更多的是由图表驱动的盘整模式？就像 $BNO 推高到 53.8，但那是另一回事。我更倾向于后者，即技术面目前比宏观故事发挥了更大的作用，特别是当你看到一些经济数据点时。我是否遗漏了什么关键信息？如果你有不同看法，请反驳。
It's a really good question, and honestly, I think it's a bit of both. That 18K level definitely has psychological weight, but the underlying macro concerns are probably preventing a decisive break higher or lower. The ECB's next move is the big unknown.
It's rarely just one or the other, is it? While 18k is clearly a psychological level, the macro environment dictates whether the technicals hold or break significantly. The ECB's next move will certainly be a larger factor than pure chart patterns.
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