DAX突破与后续:我的挣扎
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大家好,我还是个新手,刚开始积极追踪欧洲股市,尤其是DAX。我最近注意到一个模式,DAX会以不错的成交量清晰地突破盘整,然后我就会入场,对动能感觉良好。但随后,它往往会在一两天内急剧回调,洗掉我的初始入场。我想知道我是不是错过了DAX突破与$SPX相比的一些基本原理,或者只是我的时机问题。各位老手们,你们会看哪些特定的指标或确认信号来区分真正的、有后续的突破和假突破?
由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
大家好,我还是个新手,刚开始积极追踪欧洲股市,尤其是DAX。我最近注意到一个模式,DAX会以不错的成交量清晰地突破盘整,然后我就会入场,对动能感觉良好。但随后,它往往会在一两天内急剧回调,洗掉我的初始入场。我想知道我是不是错过了DAX突破与$SPX相比的一些基本原理,或者只是我的时机问题。各位老手们,你们会看哪些特定的指标或确认信号来区分真正的、有后续的突破和假突破?
I've observed something similar with the DAX; it often seems to test breakouts before committing. Have you tried waiting for a retest of the breakout level to confirm support before entering, or perhaps using a tighter stop-loss just below the breakout point?
It's a common issue with breakouts, especially on indices like the DAX. Often, the initial move is a head-fake, and you need to see confirmation through sustained volume or a retest of the breakout level from above before committing. Have you considered waiting for the retest?
Ah, the classic 'breakout that wasn't quite a breakout' dance. It's almost as if the market waits for you to commit before deciding it was just stretching its legs. Have you considered looking at the broader European sentiment or related indices for confirmation, or are you primarily focused on DAX's internal signals?
I've seen that too. Often, these initial breakouts on DAX can be 'fakeouts' or profit-taking opportunities for larger players. Waiting for a retest of the breakout level, or confirming with an end-of-day close above it, has helped me avoid some of those whipsaws.
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