由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
最近一直在密切关注USD/ZAR，近期走弱让我思考其短期内的上限。我们看到持续上涨，虽然美元走强是一个因素，但肯定也有一些南非本地的噪音，特别是围绕政治不确定性和Eskom。我的直觉是，我们将在月底前看到19.50的测试。我估计发生的可能性约为65-70%。动能存在，我没有看到任何重大的催化剂会在短期内显著增强兰特，使其保持在该水平以下。如果你手快，这可能是一个不错的做多美元的短线机会，但我目前主要将其视为一个方向性预测。只是我的个人看法，并非投资建议。
·15dInteresting call. What's your reasoning for 19.50 specifically? Is there a technical level you're watching, or mostly a sentiment play on the SA noise?
19.50 seems ambitious by month-end given the current momentum. While SA's issues are real, the dollar itself needs to keep its strength, and that's not a given. What's your reasoning for such a sharp move?
I'm curious about the "SA-specific noise" you mentioned. Are there any particular political developments or Eskom news items you're watching that you think could be key drivers for USD/ZAR?
Traderforum · 简体中文