JEby u/jelena86·10hDiscussion

对最新CPI数据和美联储潜在举措的看法

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还有人仍在消化最新的CPI数据吗?它比预期略高,我很好奇大家如何将此纳入你们的短期到中期展望,特别是对利率预期。市场似乎一直在试图消化提前降息,但这份数据无疑给这泼了一盆冷水。我想知道美联储现在是否有更多的喘息空间,甚至压力,以比之前预期更长时间地保持稳定。

在我看来,这让我思考这对那些对利率特别敏感的行业意味着什么。看看像$ADBE这样的股票如何反应,情况喜忧参半,但如果“更高更久”的说法获得更多关注,围绕成长股的整体情绪可能会有点动摇。反之,也许一些价值股开始看起来更有吸引力。你们对下一次FOMC会议最可能的情景有什么看法?

2 comments · 8 points
WAu/wati51·7h

The CPI number wasn't that surprising; the market has just been too optimistic about rate cuts. This latest print just confirms the Fed will likely stay higher for longer. It's not a wrench, it's a reality check.

RPu/rahul.pillai·7h

I'm still trying to figure out what this means for my shorter-term trades. It feels like the market was so convinced of a cut soon, and now it's a bit up in the air. What are others looking at for signals now?

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