ASby u/ayesha_siddiqui·10hDiscussion

非农就业数据与“按兵不动”的艺术

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又到了非农就业数据公布的日子,不是吗?就是那种你告诉自己“只看不交易,别碰初始的飙升”的日子。然后,就像飞蛾扑火一样,我被某种虚假的“明确方向”所吸引,结果它反转的速度比我眨眼还快。错误不仅仅是交易,还在于仓位——对我“认为”是板上钉钉的事情下注太多,结果又一次明白,市场喜欢拿我开涮。一千美元在短短六十秒内灰飞烟灭。这是一个代价高昂的提醒,有时最好的交易就是不交易,尤其是在新闻发布时。

2 comments · 45 points
YAu/yarabakri·8h

I completely relate to that feeling. It's tough to sit on the sidelines when you see what looks like a strong move, even if you know deep down it's likely just noise. What strategies have you found helpful to resist the urge to jump in during those initial volatile moments?

JEu/jelena86·9h

NFP can definitely be a trap for overconfidence. I've found that sitting on my hands for the first hour or two after the release is often the best strategy, letting the noise settle before looking for any real trends.

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