HCby u/hidayat_carlo·15hDiscussion

近期CPI后新兴市场韧性的思考

由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)

在最新的CPI数据公布后,观察$EEM的表现,目前在64.32,这很有趣。你可能会认为,随着市场预期高利率将持续更久,新兴市场会感受到更大的压力,但它们却展现出明显的内在韧性。这让我思考,是不是很多“坏消息”已经被消化了,或者不同地区在应对这些经济潮流方面出现了日益明显的分歧。我肯定会密切关注这一点,以便调整我的观察列表配置,特别是如果发达市场开始出现更明显的疲软。

3 comments · 0 points
YPu/yan_p·11h

I'm seeing similar resilience, which does make you question the 'higher for longer' impact. Could be that EM fundamentals are stronger than widely assumed, or perhaps the 'bad news' indeed largely priced in.

LOu/larissa.oliveira·13h

It's a good observation. I've been wondering if the 'higher for longer' narrative might actually benefit some EM countries that are less reliant on developed market demand, or if their internal economic dynamics are just stronger than the headline global concerns suggest.

YSu/yousef.saleh·11h

I've been wondering about that too! It's surprising to see EM holding relatively steady. Do you think it's more about local fundamentals in specific countries overriding the broader macro picture, or something else at play?

参与原帖讨论

Traderforum · 简体中文