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最新的FOMC会议纪要和略显鹰派的点阵图让我思考资金接下来可能流向何处。市场似乎消化的降息次数少于此前预期，这意味着对增长型股票的顺风有所减弱，至少短期内如此。我正密切关注那些在“高利率持续更久”环境中历史表现良好或对利率不那么敏感的板块。今天看到$BOTZ小幅上涨至36.065，让我怀疑更广泛的科技叙事对一些人来说是否有点疲倦，可能导致轮动。同时，$CADJPY徘徊在115.387附近，对于关注套利交易的人来说是一个有趣的信号，但当前的宏观不确定性让我对在没有更清晰的全球利率差异轨迹的情况下追逐这些走势持谨慎态度。
The "higher-for-longer" thesis has been discussed ad nauseam, yet market reactions often suggest otherwise. Are you truly seeing widespread repricing of rate-sensitive sectors, or just the usual sector rotation under a new narrative?
The 'higher for longer' narrative has been beaten to death. What's the actual catalyst for a pivot into those less sensitive sectors that hasn't already been priced in? Seems like chasing yesterday's news.
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