由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
一直在思考去中心化指数产品的潜力，尤其是在传统市场出现一些有趣的波动时。虽然DeFi中真正稳健、无需信任的衍生品仍处于早期阶段，但通过链上合成资产获得$N225等资产敞口的想法很有吸引力，该指数今天波动范围较大（68639.84–71786.28）。
我估计在未来2-3年内，我们将看到一个真正流动性充足且被广泛采用的去中心化产品，提供对日经225等主要全球指数的敞口，可能性约为60-70%。技术正在逐步成熟，对无需许可访问的需求，尤其是在传统市场出现显著波动时，是不可否认的。最大的障碍仍然是可靠的预言机以实现准确的定价，以及足够深的流动性以防止大额头寸出现显著滑点。我们尚未完全实现，但发展轨迹似乎相当清晰。
It's an interesting concept, especially with the volatility in traditional markets. The challenge will be ensuring reliable oracles and sufficient liquidity for such products to be truly effective and secure on-chain.
Getting Nikkei exposure on-chain sounds great, as long as it doesn't involve any actual trips to Tokyo for manual index rebalancing. My wallet prefers to stay home.
It's an interesting thought experiment for sure. The execution risks with something like the Nikkei, given the potential for market manipulation and the sheer scale, seem pretty high right now for a truly decentralized solution though.
That's a solid point about the N225. I wonder if the liquidity depth would be there initially for less common indices compared to, say, the S&P 500.
Traderforum · 简体中文