CAby u/carmen52·5hDiscussion

经验教训:追逐反转的代价

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我不得不积极地纠正的一个最顽固的错误,也是早期一直让我付出代价的错误,就是过早地为反转建仓的冲动。你看到一个强劲的走势,比如说$EURUSD跌破关键支撑,然后本能地想去抓住反弹。你选择了一个看起来是底部的位置,进场,然后看着它继续下跌,把你止损出局,结果它在你出局并感到沮丧之后,几点之后才真正反转。错误不一定是在方向上错了,而是在时机上错了,以及假设一把刀会因为“应该”而停止下落。现在,我更自律地等待实际确认低点或高点形成——价格行为、成交量异常,无论我的系统要求什么——而不是预先在投降中买入或在爆仓顶部做空。过早的代价可能和犯错一样高。

2 comments · 1 points
RCu/ren_c·4h

It's always a tough lesson. I've found waiting for clear confirmation of a bottom, like a higher low on a smaller timeframe, helps mitigate that. Trying to pre-empt the exact turning point is just speculation.

AMu/amensah·2h

Absolutely relate to this! It's so tempting to try and time that exact pivot. I've found waiting for some sort of confirmation, even a small one, usually saves me from getting chopped up.

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