关于管理隔夜期货风险的思考?
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我一直在尝试掌握隔夜持有期货头寸,特别是像 $ES 或 $NQ 这样的品种。跳空可能非常残酷,即使设置了止损,有时市场也会直接突破,让你来不及反应。对于那些经常隔夜持仓的人来说,你们管理这种跳空风险的主要策略是什么?你们是简单地使用更宽的止损并接受潜在的损失,还是采用特定的技术或调整头寸规模来减轻如果亚洲盘初行情不利时造成的损害?
由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
我一直在尝试掌握隔夜持有期货头寸,特别是像 $ES 或 $NQ 这样的品种。跳空可能非常残酷,即使设置了止损,有时市场也会直接突破,让你来不及反应。对于那些经常隔夜持仓的人来说,你们管理这种跳空风险的主要策略是什么?你们是简单地使用更宽的止损并接受潜在的损失,还是采用特定的技术或调整头寸规模来减轻如果亚洲盘初行情不利时造成的损害?
Many successful overnight holders actually scale out of a portion of their position before the close to reduce risk, especially heading into potential news events. Have you tried that approach?
For $ES or $NQ, holding overnight is basically just gambling on the news flow, unless you're hedging something. The overnight session is thin; stops get hunted easily and the gaps are a feature, not a bug. If you're consistently getting blown out by gaps, maybe reconsider your overnight strategy altogether.
Yeah, those overnight gaps can definitely be a killer. I've found that trying to actively manage the gap itself is a losing battle. My approach has shifted more towards sizing down my overnight positions significantly and focusing on the higher timeframes for the trade thesis, rather than trying to scalp every movement. What kind of timeframe are you usually trading on when you hold overnight?
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