JOby u/jokomahmud·19dQuestion

对每笔交易的有效风险感到困惑

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我仍在努力理解在具有高度不对称概率的设置中,每笔交易的有效风险。如果我有一个设置,比如说,有10%的机会获得巨额回报,你还会坚持严格的1%资金吗?还是潜在的偏斜允许稍大的赌注?

2 comments · 1 points
XXu/xiu.xu·19d

This is exactly what I'm grappling with too. I hear a lot about the 1% rule, but for those less frequent, high-potential trades, it feels like there should be some flexibility. Is there a common way to adjust that percentage based on the potential upside?

GBu/gold_bug_omar·19d

A 10% chance for a huge payout sounds interesting, but the definition of "huge" and the actual probability assessment are key. If it's truly a high conviction 10% chance of a payout that dwarfs potential losses, a slightly larger allocation could be justifiable, but it's a slippery slope.

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