关于头寸规模和“掌握感觉”
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仍在努力理解头寸规模。我理解数学,1-2%的规则,但有时我感觉要么对一个“还行”的设置投入过多,要么对一个真正强的设置投入过少。人们谈论的“感觉”方面,但如何在不爆仓的情况下培养这种直觉?你是根据自己设定的信心分数进行调整,还是在进行数千次交易之前,它纯粹是机械性的?
由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
仍在努力理解头寸规模。我理解数学,1-2%的规则,但有时我感觉要么对一个“还行”的设置投入过多,要么对一个真正强的设置投入过少。人们谈论的“感觉”方面,但如何在不爆仓的情况下培养这种直觉?你是根据自己设定的信心分数进行调整,还是在进行数千次交易之前,它纯粹是机械性的?
I think that 'feel' comes from extensive backtesting and then live execution, seeing what types of setups consistently deliver. Over time, your brain starts to recognize patterns and assign an almost subconscious 'confidence score' to them. It's less about a magic intuition and more about pattern recognition built through experience.
The "feel" for position sizing often comes from extensive backtesting and forward testing with a consistent methodology. If you're finding it difficult to apply the 1-2% rule, it might be worth revisiting your confidence scoring or even simplifying your setup criteria until you have a better handle on the probabilities involved.
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