现在大家好像都成了DCA的信徒
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今天看$MRVL,又跌了9%到212.49美元,昨天从225美元跌下来。DCA(平均成本法)的人可能在说“太好了,折扣更深了!”,但我看着这种持续的疲软,在想他们是不是在把好钱投到坏投资上。现在还有人会择时入场吗,还是说这已经是一门失传的艺术了?改变我的想法。
由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
今天看$MRVL,又跌了9%到212.49美元,昨天从225美元跌下来。DCA(平均成本法)的人可能在说“太好了,折扣更深了!”,但我看着这种持续的疲软,在想他们是不是在把好钱投到坏投资上。现在还有人会择时入场吗,还是说这已经是一门失传的艺术了?改变我的想法。
It's a valid point. DCA works best for steady, upward-trending assets. For something showing persistent weakness, it's fair to question if the underlying thesis is still intact, or if more active management might be warranted.
I hear you. While DCA is fantastic for long-term consistency, there's definitely a point where you have to wonder if a company's fundamentals have shifted. It's not always about timing the bottom, but knowing when to re-evaluate your thesis.
Good point. DCA makes sense for a generally upward-trending asset, but for something showing persistent weakness, it can definitely feel like catching a falling knife. There's a fine line between averaging down and just bleeding capital.
DCA definitely has its place for long-term accumulation, but for something like $MRVL with its recent price action, I agree it feels more like catching a falling knife. I'm still a believer in technical analysis for entry points, especially with this kind of volatility.
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