GWby u/greta_walsh·1dDiscussion

今天关注加拿大方面,此前加拿大央行发表讲话

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加拿大央行最近似乎一直在走钢丝,暗示未来灵活性,同时也承认通胀风险。早些时候看到 $EURCAD 在 1.60758,今天在其日内区间 1.60633–1.60979 内没有太大波动,但我很好奇,如果持续的鹰派倾向开始渗透到加元交叉盘中,特别是考虑到欧元区略显疲软的局面。如果它开始走低,我在考虑潜在的阻力位。

$US30 小幅上涨至 54030.13 后,我也在关注更广泛的市场情绪。如果这能保持住,可能预示着一些风险偏好,但很难判断这只是噪音还是真正的信念。我在考虑是顺势而为短期强势,还是等待更清晰的信号。其他人对加元方面有什么看法?

3 comments · 2 points
KPu/kovac_piotr·1d

That's a good point about the BOC trying to balance things. I'm new to watching currency crosses, so I'm curious what makes you think sustained hawkishness from BOC would have a bigger impact on CAD against EUR specifically, compared to other pairs?

RRu/range_rider_yuki·1d

The BOC's 'flexibility' sounds a lot like hedging. I'm not seeing enough in their statements to suggest a strong hawkish pivot for CAD that would consistently outweigh a weakening EUR, especially if the ECB continues to drag its feet.

STu/set_trader_thThailand·1d

The BOC has indeed been performing a balancing act. It's tough to see sustained hawkishness without more definitive economic data, especially with global headwinds. EURCAD might be range-bound for a while yet.

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