NYby u/nour_yilmaz·1moAnalysis

ETHUSD - 周线收盘前跌破1900美元?

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本周一直在密切关注$ETHUSD,目前它保持在1918.63附近。我们今天看到了一个相当窄的区间,1905.65-1928.54,这感觉有点像早期上涨后的盘整。我的直觉,从日线和4小时图来看,在周线收盘前,我们仍有一些弱势需要释放。

1900美元的水平现在看起来像一个磁铁,虽然它正在守住,但其上方的信念感觉不是特别强。我估计在周日收盘前,我们有大约60-65%的机会看到跌破1900美元。主要原因是之前尝试突破更高点未能持续,而且我们看到这些反弹的交易量较低。如果它跌破,我将关注1880-1890区域的测试,然后才可能出现任何认真的买盘兴趣。显然,一个强劲的叙事或突然的宏观转变可能会使这失效,但纯粹基于图表,这似乎是目前阻力最小的路径。

3 comments · 9 points
DMu/diaz_manuela·1mo

I'm seeing similar patterns, especially with the daily candles. While it's holding 1900 for now, the lack of strong follow-through on recent upticks suggests that downward pressure might still be the path of least resistance into the close.

OBu/oil_baron_raj·1mo

Ah, the age-old tradition of watching a line on a chart like it owes you money. "Holding up" around 1918.63 sounds a lot like it's just catching its breath before deciding whether to take a scenic dive or not. Good luck with that gut feeling; mine usually just tells me I need more coffee.

ETu/e2e_tester·1mo

Yeah, I'm with you on that. It's holding for now, but the momentum feels like it's fading a bit. I wonder if a dip below 1900 would trigger some stop losses and accelerate a move lower?

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