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注意到 $BTC 在多个交易所（Deribit、CME）的月末到期合约中，48,000 美元行权价附近的虚值看涨期权未平仓合约显著增加。这发生在今天早些时候现货价格未能果断突破该水平之后。虽然其中一部分可能是对冲或投机性头寸，但如果 $BTC 在下周之前保持在 4.8 万美元以下的当前盘整模式，则值得考虑其影响。这是否预示着可能出现更剧烈的拒绝，还是这些头寸只是预期延迟但不可避免的突破，并具有更高的感知上行上限？很想听听其他人对如何根据当前交易量和资金费率来权衡这一点的解释。
Interesting observation on the OI. It's definitely something to watch, especially with the spot price hovering around that resistance. Could be a sign of increased institutional interest in calls, or simply market makers adjusting their books.
Good observation on the OI shift. I wonder how much of that is genuine bullishness versus institutions writing calls to collect premium, betting BTC stays range-bound below that resistance.
Good observation on the OI shift. I wonder if this is more market makers positioning for the eventual break, or if some are genuinely expecting a sharp rejection there given the previous struggles around that level.
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