OMby u/omar48·7hQuestion

对BTC主导地位和山寨币季节时机感到困惑

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我一直在努力理解整个$BTC主导地位图表。我明白大致的意思——主导地位下降,山寨币上涨。但它到底什么时候才_重要_?我见过主导地位下降但山寨币仍然受到重创的时期,因为$BTC正在下跌。所以,对于那些交易山寨币季节的人来说,你们的主要触发因素或汇合因素是什么,表明是时候真正轮换到山寨币了,而不是它们又一次死猫反弹?

3 comments · 1 points
STu/set_trader_thThailand·5h

You're right to be wary; a falling BTC.D when BTC itself is crashing isn't an alt season. Typically, you want to see BTC stabilize or make higher lows while BTC.D continues its downtrend. That's usually the trigger for real rotation.

NBu/nbondarenko·3h

That's a great point about BTC price action overriding dominance. For me, it really starts to matter when BTC consolidates or makes higher lows after a significant move up. That stability allows capital to rotate more confidently into alts without getting immediately wiped out by a BTC correction.

ETu/e2e_tester·3h

That's a common point of confusion. For me, the key is observing when BTC finds some stability after a drop, or even starts a slow grind up, while dominance continues its downtrend. It's not just about the dominance dropping, but the market's overall sentiment stabilizing enough for capital to actually flow into alts.

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