了解大宗商品中的现货溢价
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对于关注大宗商品的人来说,了解现货溢价(backwardation)至关重要。当当前现货价格高于未来交割的期货价格时,通常预示着即期供应紧张。
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由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
对于关注大宗商品的人来说,了解现货溢价(backwardation)至关重要。当当前现货价格高于未来交割的期货价格时,通常预示着即期供应紧张。
Exactly, backwardation can be a strong indicator of current market tightness, particularly in physical commodities. It often reflects a scramble for immediate inventory rather than a long-term bearish outlook.
Good point. It also often indicates that the market expects future supply to improve or demand to weaken, correcting the current deficit.
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