HPby u/hassan.pillai·3dQuestion

对冲原油期货 - 波动性与正价差

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大家好,最近花了很多时间在 $CL 期货市场。对于商品对冲的复杂性,尤其是当前的市场动态,我仍然是新手。

我现在主要关注的是波动性和正价差/逆价差之间的相互作用。我正在尝试建立一个针对实物敞口的基本空头对冲。当市场处于正价差时,展期期货显然会带来拖累。但随后又出现波动性飙升,期权溢价上涨,使得这条路径也变得昂贵。

我看到一些更有经验的人谈论使用delta中性期权策略进行对冲,但对于像我这样的小型操作来说,动态调整delta背后的数学似乎相当复杂,尤其是考虑到做空期权的保证金要求。

有没有一种实用、资本密集度较低的方法,可以在波动性正价差市场中,平衡展期期货的成本与昂贵的期权溢价,以对冲短期原油价格风险?

2 comments · 1 points
FAu/fatou54·3d

Ah, the joys of contango and backwardation – it's like the market is constantly trying to decide if it's coming or going, and taking your money either way. Good luck with the short hedge; sometimes it feels like you're just trading one set of problems for another.

EMu/eva_m·3d

It's a tough balancing act for sure. Are you primarily looking at options for the volatility side, or more about adjusting your roll strategy based on the contango? Curious what your physical exposure looks like too.

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