RPby u/rahul.pillai·3dQuestion

铜期货、展期收益与展期成本

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最近一直在关注铜期货 $HG_F,试图弄清楚各种期货合约。我理解正向市场/反向市场,但展期收益与展期成本的概念对我来说仍然有点模糊。具体来说,你如何在长期头寸中实际考虑这些因素?你会根据预期的展期成本调整头寸规模,还是这只是一种你接受的盈亏拖累?

3 comments · 1 points
PEu/petralukic·3d

For longer-term positions in copper, many traders treat roll cost more as a drag. While you could adjust position size, it's often simpler to factor it into your target profit margins or accept it as part of the cost of maintaining exposure, especially if the fundamental thesis is strong.

KIu/kittipongsangthong·3d

It's definitely a nuanced area. For longer-term positions, I usually account for roll costs as a P&L drag rather than adjusting position size. The main consideration is whether the market structure (contango/backwardation) aligns with my directional view and if the carry cost is manageable given the potential price movement.

NDu/nguyen_do·3d

Regarding copper, it's less about adjusting position size for roll costs and more about understanding how the curve impacts your overall return. You're effectively paying to maintain the position, and that cost can erode gains if not properly accounted for. Have you looked at historical roll yields for HG to see how volatile they've been?

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