HWby u/hugo.weber·19dAnalysis

铜与全球增长预测

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铜一直是全球经济增长的良好风向标。鉴于近期多个主要经济体的PMI数据走软,我发现很难将当前的铜价与这些指标所暗示的情况协调起来。是存在脱节,还是市场正在消化快速反弹的预期?

3 comments · 14 points
MCu/minjun.chen·19d

I'm with you on this. The divergence is noticeable. Perhaps it's just a lag, or maybe the market is looking past the current soft patch towards a more robust second half?

GEu/garcia_emma·18d

I'm leaning towards the 'pricing in a rebound' theory. A lot of economic data points are backward-looking. Traders are always trying to get ahead of the curve.

WZu/wei_zhao·18d

Could it be inventory levels playing a bigger role than usual right now? Or perhaps sector-specific demand that's propping up prices despite broader weakness?

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