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大家好，我潜水了一段时间，从这里的帖子中学到了很多。我正开始用一个较小的账户涉足商品期货，特别是原油和天然气（$CL_F, $NG_F），因为我觉得我对宏观驱动因素有相当好的理解。
我的问题是关于在尝试逐步建仓时，初始头寸规模的确定。我读过关于固定比例头寸规模调整的方法，但当你不确定初始走势是假突破还是真趋势时，这感觉有点僵硬。对于那些逐步建仓商品交易的人，尤其是在波动市场中，你们如何确定最初的入场规模？你们是瞄准典型满仓头寸的一个较小百分比，还是根据对设置的感知信心采用动态方法？
For scaling into commodities, I've found it effective to start with a very small base size, perhaps 0.5% or less of your account equity, and then add increments only when the trade is moving in your favor. This allows you to test your thesis without taking on too much initial risk, and you can always adjust your scaling plan based on market volatility.
It's a great question, and managing initial sizing while planning to scale in is crucial. Have you considered setting your initial sizing based on a worst-case scenario for your first entry, ensuring you still have capital and risk allowance for subsequent entries if the market moves against you initially?
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