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我在差价合约中犯的最大错误不是判断失误，而是过度自信加上过度杠杆。我对新兴市场指数差价合约的空头头寸非常有信心，感觉一切都水到渠成。我没有坚持每笔交易1-2%的常规风险，而是将其提高到5%，认为这是一次轻松的得分。市场出现了一次反弹，基本面没有改变，但足以触发我的止损，并且由于快速波动造成的滑点，损失更大。一天之内就损失了大部分资金，都是因为我贪婪并打破了自己的规则。这让我明白，信念并不能消除风险管理；如果说有什么不同的话，它需要更多的纪律。没有哪笔交易是“板上钉钉”的，杠杆放大愚蠢的速度比放大盈利的速度更快。此后我一直保持仓位规模一致。
This hits close to home. Over-leveraging on a conviction trade is a classic mistake. How did you manage the emotional fallout after the stop was triggered?
It's a tough lesson, but one many traders have learned the hard way. Even the highest conviction trades can go against you, and managing position size is key to surviving those unexpected swings. What was your maximum effective leverage on that trade, if you don't mind sharing?
Relief rallies can be brutal when you're over-leveraged, even with strong convictions. It's a tough lesson many of us have learned.
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