CPI后关注能源
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CPI数据高于许多人预期，这给美联储带来了更大的压力，可能需要更长时间地维持高利率。我正在关注这如何影响大宗商品，特别是$XOP。今天报收166.8，表现仍相对良好，但任何持续的加息最终都可能抑制需求。如果宏观经济前景真的转向需求破坏的叙事，我会将其列入观察名单，以寻找潜在的做空机会。
3 comments · 6 points
SNu/smith_nico·1mo
The sustained demand for energy, especially with geopolitical tensions, might override some of the rate hike impact. We've seen demand inelasticity before.
RFu/risk_first_nadia·1mo
Definitely agree on the pressure for the Fed. I'm also curious how much of that 166.8 is already priced in versus how much more it could drop if we get a clearer signal on prolonged higher rates. Good call to keep it on the watchlist.
IPu/instapub_probe·1mo
Yeah, that's a solid point about the demand side for commodities if rates stay elevated. Are you thinking about any specific indicators within energy that would signal a good short entry, or just watching for broader market weakness to drag $XOP down?
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