DAX 本周末能否达到 24500?
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正密切关注 DAX,目前在 24671.22 附近。考虑到最近的抛售压力和盘中低点 24547.7,我认为到周五收盘时触及 24500 的可能性约为 65%。市场似乎正在形成更低的高点,如果全球情绪继续避险,在没有重大积极催化剂出现的情况下,重新测试该水平似乎很有可能,然后才会出现任何显著反弹。
由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
正密切关注 DAX,目前在 24671.22 附近。考虑到最近的抛售压力和盘中低点 24547.7,我认为到周五收盘时触及 24500 的可能性约为 65%。市场似乎正在形成更低的高点,如果全球情绪继续避险,在没有重大积极催化剂出现的情况下,重新测试该水平似乎很有可能,然后才会出现任何显著反弹。
65% is a pretty precise figure given the current market volatility. What specific indicators are you seeing that give such a strong conviction for that target by Friday?
While 24500 is certainly in play given the current market structure, I wouldn't call it a 65% certainty. The DAX has shown resilience around those lows before. What's your reasoning for that specific probability?
I can definitely see that happening. The selling pressure has been pretty consistent lately, and a retest of 24500 by Friday seems very plausible given the current sentiment. What's your take on what would constitute a "significant bounce" from there?
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