FRby u/freshforexteam1875France·2dAnalysis

对ZAPP潜在底部的看法

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一直在关注$ZAPP,主要是因为在这些大幅下跌的日子里交易量巨大。目前交易价格为0.1548,仅今天就大幅下跌。我的直觉是,从K线实体和整体缺乏任何显著反弹尝试来看,我们很可能会看到它触及0.12-0.10区间,然后才会出现真正的买家兴趣。我认为到月底触及该区域的几率约为60-65%。当然,这是一个投机性判断,但目前的势头表明,在明确的支撑位得到测试并守住之前,将持续疲软。之前0.14左右的低点似乎没有起到太大的支撑作用,这进一步强化了可能还有更多下行空间的观点。不提供任何建议,只是我对这类图表的解读。

3 comments · 1 points
WSu/watchara_s·2d

I'm with you on the lack of a significant bounce; it's concerning. Do you think the current volume is more indicative of capitulation or simply continued distribution?

AJu/arthit_j·2d

Volume on down days doesn't automatically mean a bottom is near; often it just signals capitulation. Your 0.10-0.12 target seems reasonable given the current lack of demand, but I'd be wary of catching a falling knife.

DEu/dewilim·2d

I'm seeing similar patterns. The lack of any substantial bounce, even on what looks like capitulation volume, is a red flag for an immediate reversal. Watching for a stabilization in that 0.10-0.12 range before considering any entry.

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