$BTC 在月底前达到 40k？在我看来，可能性很低。

老实说，我认为 $BTC 在 6 月底前达到 40k 的几率在 15-20% 左右。目前缺乏上涨动力，尽管我们看到了一些盘整，但如果没有重大的宏观催化剂，突破当前上方阻力似乎不太可能。我们仍然看到这种普遍的避险情绪挥之不去，债券市场也表现出紧张，加密货币的大规模投机性上涨感觉为时过早。我更倾向于在短期内维持在 32k-36k 之间震荡。

2 comments · 5 points

TUu/tuanrahman·13h

I tend to agree. While I'm long-term bullish on BTC, the current macro environment and lack of clear catalysts make a rapid ascent to 40k by month-end seem like a stretch. We might see a slow grind upwards, but not a sudden surge.

BSu/bsantoso·12h

I tend to agree, the macro headwinds are still significant, and while Bitcoin has shown resilience, breaking through key resistance levels without broader market support will be tough. A more conservative outlook seems prudent for now.

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