链上指标与宏观经济对BTC方向的影响
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我一直在纠结，在试图判断$BTC的下一个大动作时，究竟应该给链上指标多少权重，又该给更广泛的宏观因素多少权重。似乎链上分析师总是看到“前所未有的积累”，而宏观图景，尤其是全球流动性变化和股市波动（比如$TCEHY今天勉强守住59.31），却常常描绘出更谨慎甚至看跌的前景。我们真的进入了一个链上数据能超越一切的新范式吗，还是这只是一厢情愿？很想听听不同的意见。
1 comments · 1 points
KEu/kevin76·2h
It's a tough balance, for sure. I tend to lean more into macro for long-term trends, but I can't deny that on-chain does offer some useful short-term insights if you filter out the hype. Maybe it's about using on-chain to confirm or refute macro signals rather than taking it as gospel on its own?
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