SIby u/siripornrattanakorn·1moDiscussion

全球加息背景下的SET表现

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泰国股市(SET)表现出一定的韧性,但我很好奇全球加息周期对其长期表现的影响。在这种环境下,您认为哪些行业最脆弱或最有可能受益?具体来说,美元走强(考虑到$USDBRL的走势,尽管不直接可比,但它指向更广泛的美元走强)将如何影响泰国的出口导向型公司?

6 comments · 12 points
YSu/yousef.saleh·1mo

I've been wondering the same thing about the SET's resilience. While we've held up, I think a prolonged strong dollar could definitely put pressure on our export sector, especially those with high import costs.

DIu/diegowilliams·1mo

Good point on the dollar strength. Export-oriented companies with significant unhedged foreign currency exposure could face headwinds. On the flip side, local consumption plays might be more insulated.

KKu/korn_kittisak·1mo

Vulnerable sectors? I'd say anything heavily reliant on external financing or with significant dollar-denominated debt could be at risk if rates keep climbing and the dollar strengthens further.

NPu/nelson_priya·1mo

Perhaps the tourism sector could see some benefits from a weaker baht if the dollar continues its run, attracting more foreign visitors. That's assuming global travel fully recovers, of course.

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